StockTwits Brunch Transcript: Friday July 11, 2009

stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 12:04 PM
$$ Well that’s all for this week, hope you got something out of it. If you like these ideas, check out my premium service: bit.ly/16KpYW
StockTwits: Jul. 11 at 12:04 PM
A big thank you to @stevenplace for another great chart-filled session of StockTwits Brunch. Thanks also to all participants!
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 12:02 PM
$$ Notice how $QGRI has been making lower highs while rest of market has not– BIG tell over the summer.
lockeonstocks: Jul. 11 at 12:02 PM
@stevenplace 1st thought was $RTS index, but that’s wrong
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 12:02 PM
$$ Well if you couldn’t get it, that was $QGRI, an etf made up of companies who took TARP money.
OspreyFlyer: Jul. 11 at 12:01 PM
$$ Treasuries Rise for Week as Growth Outlook Spurs Safety Trade (Bloomberg) http://bit.ly/rxwo2 #Mkt
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:59 AM
Mystery chart here: http://chart.ly/ntsve6 $$
asifchem02: Jul. 11 at 11:59 AM
@stevenplace did u sell call option for $WFC?
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:56 AM
$$ Ok, that about wraps it up, sorry if I didn’t get to your charts– one last thing, our MYSTERY chart.
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 11:56 AM
@stevenplace $BA kind of what I thought.I hate to short $BA though.The machinist strike was ridiculous & might helped destroy co.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:56 AM
http://chart.ly/gfpby7 $NOK – Wedge pattern, will play on break to upside.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:54 AM
http://chart.ly/8p2g9q $BA – Will play breakdown of new consolidation, and will sell puts if price gets to 34-35
MDabbles: Jul. 11 at 11:53 AM
$DXO “Trading DXO on Twitter: http://bit.ly/46I0W
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 11:52 AM
$IBM $GE $XOM all very important for the $DJIA $IBM almost broke dn on Fri. which would make a triple disaster
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:52 AM
http://chart.ly/54tegt $WFC – The longer it stays below 24, the more I like it.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:51 AM
I’ll wait for earnings on tuesday before I make any predictions about $GS…
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:51 AM
http://chart.ly/4f6x77 $MS – Huge wedge broken. I’ll short on retrace to 20MA
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 11:49 AM
$BA $CVX charts please Steve
Swetherhold: Jul. 11 at 11:48 AM
@stevenplace $ms, $gs, $wfc if you have time.
curentur: Jul. 11 at 11:48 AM
@stevenplace $NOK please
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:48 AM
@victorcharlie I agree, although I don’t think $GE is a bellweather anymore. $AAPL $FCX $POT $JPM my favs to watch in this market
mbusigin: Jul. 11 at 11:48 AM
Having trouble finding Credit Suisses Monthly Mortgage Rate Resets http://bit.ly/15tQBB in data format (CSV/XLS/etc) – anyone have this? $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:47 AM
$$ Have I missed any other charts requests? Any new ones? A couple more, and then I’ll wrap up with a mystery chart
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 11:47 AM
@stevenplace $GE $SPY Thanks.But,with $GE looking so sad,hard to get bullish about overall mkt except maybe some tech.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:45 AM
@victorcharlie yep. I see too many trapped buyers in $GE to play to longside. Also, trend is down. No chart for this one
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:43 AM
if $FAZ $FAS reverse split again, the options board will be messy\
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:42 AM
@Swetherhold if they do bounce, I don’t think it’s tradeable $POT $MOS $IPI
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:41 AM
http://chart.ly/nc769t $RIFIN – Charting $FAZ or $FAS beyond 2 wks is dumb. This is underlying, and it’s broken down.
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 11:40 AM
$GE using VWAPs from Bigcharts, $GE looks terrible; maybe I should just stay away.TONS of buyers above current price during last rally
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:39 AM
http://chart.ly/zcd846 $CPST – Has potential for long here, but will take price a while to get back to earnings high
Swetherhold: Jul. 11 at 11:39 AM
@stevenplace$pot, $mos, $agu all just tagged down sloping 200 dma while $ipi has 1.25 to go.Could 4 horsemen of poop bounce off 200 dma?
smileegirl: Jul. 11 at 11:39 AM
@stevenplace $FAZ please & thank you!
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:38 AM
http://chart.ly/5ztwtk $SMRT – From the brink of destruction- looks extended but not shortable
WakeDude: Jul. 11 at 11:37 AM
Any thoughts on how low $MBI will go this week?
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 11:36 AM
$GE when does it become a buy again if ever?
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:35 AM
http://chart.ly/ftar8r $LNN – Failed breakout from earnings. I see no tradeable edge here
jdkatz0212: Jul. 11 at 11:33 AM
$CPST
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:32 AM
http://chart.ly/48hy3d $BAC – A ton of moving averages at this price, players from all timeframes right here. Won’t stay here long
ljjones1967: Jul. 11 at 11:31 AM
@TradingDave Surely you’re aware of the reverse splits last week… http://bit.ly/R3pKqValues higher, quantities lower$FAZ$FAS
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:30 AM
http://chart.ly/q4h5vc $DD – Bid holding at 24 so far, could play on a breakdown.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:27 AM
http://chart.ly/z9g7gt $IPI – Next support I see is 18. Watch for a second bear flag.
DazeTrader: Jul. 11 at 11:27 AM
@SofaKingGnarly $HBAN – Wednesday it opened at 3.79 and didn’t stop falling until 3.26, it gave me a nice 10% gain on short side, intraday.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:25 AM
http://chart.ly/9wwkym $AGU – Has a while to go before any previous support
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:24 AM
http://chart.ly/ksp2sb $MOS – Back into channel, broke bear flag on volume, let’s see how it does w/ 3750
nunz7777: Jul. 11 at 11:22 AM
Todd what should we do with $UNG? Sell, buy more?Respect your take on this!
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:22 AM
http://chart.ly/pqe63k $POT – Down day on big volume, broke bear flag, probably continuation w/ target around 75-ish
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:20 AM
$$ Since I’ve seen a couple requests for this, let’s look at the 4 horseman of cow poop
angiezzzzz: Jul. 11 at 11:20 AM
@stevenplace $BAC please tyia
ericjackson: Jul. 11 at 11:19 AM
I couldn’t qualify to lease it RT @om: So What Do You Think About Nokia N97 http://om.bit.ly/NNbRK from @gigaom $NOK #Nokia
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:19 AM
http://chart.ly/racnss $NDN – Very clear flag pattern, stops below 1275, good trade@gunnski but may take a while to resolve up
Swetherhold: Jul. 11 at 11:19 AM
@stevenplace $pot please.
BullishBeauty: Jul. 11 at 11:18 AM
@stevenplace$MOS please
BERNA80MX: Jul. 11 at 11:18 AM
@stevenplace $LNN please
kileyay: Jul. 11 at 11:17 AM
@stevenplace $TOL
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:16 AM
http://chart.ly/v5gqyb $FXI – Blue area has been a battlefield before. Pot supp at 50DMA, but i’ve no edge in this chart
1Gunnski: Jul. 11 at 11:16 AM
@stevenplace $NDN pls.
cperruna: Jul. 11 at 11:15 AM
Trading $DXO on Twitter http://bit.ly/S2QCi DXO – $3.48, down 26% from sell calls. DXO gained 74% from my 1st twitter buy calls $$
joetheprophet: Jul. 11 at 11:15 AM
@stevenplace how about $DD $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:14 AM
http://chart.ly/baz4vt $ADBE – New channel, but I’d call it a flag on the weeklies. I’m expecting a breakout to upside.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:13 AM
$$ Ok, i’ve about gone through the first set of charts, any other requests?
theEquilibrium: Jul. 11 at 11:12 AM
http://chart.ly/55fdn6 $AAPL – weekly- just under strong confluence of resistance:major downtrend line+Fib- @WeeklyTA @stevenplace
brian_jenkins: Jul. 11 at 11:11 AM
Some of you may not know, but a serious Economic Indicator is Lingerie And Sex Toy Sales and they flopped http://bit.ly/yy2fa$$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:10 AM
http://chart.ly/z8prrs $KO – I’d call this consolidation after 6 month breakout. Will wait for break, potential earnings play
RiskDoctor: Jul. 11 at 11:10 AM
The Ri$k Doctor’s New Book, Options Trading: The Hidden Reality can be ordered in hard copy or PDF: http://www.riskdoctor.com/books.htm
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:08 AM
http://chart.ly/e6vrev $RIMM – Still see no reason for longs. I’m expecting a second bear flag, then support at earnings open price
brian_jenkins: Jul. 11 at 11:06 AM
#Obama rejects idea of 2nd stimulus http://bit.ly/S4RVF$$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:05 AM
http://chart.ly/gh5by4 $FTR – Could find support here, but I wouldn’t take this as a long. Better places to put your money
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 11:02 AM
http://chart.ly/qp6fd8 $FCX – 45 has been a battleground for this stock. Clean break and could tag 3750
mbusigin: Jul. 11 at 11:02 AM
@alaidi @HamzeiAnalytics Even if the Fed were audited, are they really incapable of hiding the things they are keeping from us now? $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:59 AM
http://chart.ly/qwn2q4 $VNO – Waiting for pb to 20DMA and upper trendline for any shorting opp
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:58 AM
http://chart.ly/apsg9k $LSI – I’d wait for channel to resolve before planning any new trades.
bkkumar: Jul. 11 at 10:58 AM
@stevenplace $CMG is troublesome!
WeeklyTA: Jul. 11 at 10:58 AM
http://chart.ly/6d6nbc $AAPL – @stevenplace symmetrical triangle directly under the July 2008 low. Long-term resistance marked.
1Gunnski: Jul. 11 at 10:58 AM
@stevenplace $NDN long @ 13.00. Comments? Thks. Steve.
victorcharlie: Jul. 11 at 10:57 AM
$PBR sure looks like hell now http://bit.ly/AFwVb
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:57 AM
http://chart.ly/awb33c $ESLR – 80% of time in price range for past 3 months. I don’t have an edge in predicting future movement
neodocjdg: Jul. 11 at 10:57 AM
Buffett’s Most-Watched Index Takes a Tumblehttp://bit.ly/1RLs // Keep your head down $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:56 AM
http://chart.ly/zn3w2b $MRK – Failed breakout last week, let’s see if 20 and 50 DMA can come up to support
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:55 AM
http://chart.ly/5ndc2c $MCD – Triangle pattern will resolve next week. Could be inplay if earnings risk isn’t too great
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:54 AM
http://chart.ly/wakfcb $FSLR – Potential support did not hold, trend is still down, best target I see is around 130
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:53 AM
http://chart.ly/7c548y $AAPL – Was a good long opp. Trendline support, price level support, and 50MA came in confluence
TradeWithMojo: Jul. 11 at 10:51 AM
$UGL @ $32.10 http://bit.ly/YRy95 #Gold day trade 50% Fib $31.75 under short with 61.8% Fib $29.65 for support. http://twitpic.com/9zmg1
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:50 AM
http://chart.ly/kym5c3 $AIG – First up– shows the corporate benefits of a 20:1 reverse split
WeeklyTA: Jul. 11 at 10:48 AM
$XME major support at the 100-day MA. Hammer reversal on highest vol. Estimated short-term target $35. 20-day Ma will come down to the gap.
pikertrader: Jul. 11 at 10:47 AM
http://tinyurl.com/mypmuddivergences on $NYMO and $TICK with $SPX
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:46 AM
$$ Ok, let me refill my green tea (no coffee today) and then we’ll do some individual names
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:45 AM
@WeeklyTA nice catch on $XRT
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:44 AM
http://chart.ly/hp2a3d $XME – In a downward channel with everything else. On the weekly chart, just looks like bull flag
volpivots: Jul. 11 at 10:44 AM
http://chart.ly/fpepfe $SPY – the setup is there….last similar setup on 5/15 started with a Monday-morning gap that didn’t fill
WeeklyTA: Jul. 11 at 10:43 AM
http://chart.ly/e6wgse $XRT – @stevenplace also symmetrical triangle with broken lower segment + forming possible bear flag
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:43 AM
http://chart.ly/rpv278 $MOO – Has the potential for a long trade. Look at individual components of etf, you’d be surprised
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:42 AM
http://chart.ly/4tq89p $OIH – Very similar to what I’m seeing in $XLE
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:41 AM
http://chart.ly/gz73na $XLE – Looks to be establishing a second bear flag. Once this resolves, I’ll look for long entries
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:41 AM
http://chart.ly/npgdrw $XLB – I see a falling wedge, but I’m hesitant about longs in the sector.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:40 AM
http://chart.ly/wcnewy $EEM – Still waiting for a breakdown in this name. Could still go either way.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:38 AM
http://chart.ly/pem7mz $IYR – I think everyone’s interested in this sector. I’m looking for some backfill and then good short opps
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:37 AM
http://chart.ly/4w4dyd $XRT – Least sucky chart of 3 retail etfs. It’s due to underlying structure — less weighting in each stock
ivanhoff: Jul. 11 at 10:36 AM
Odd or not, the airline stocks were among the best performing industries last Friday: http://twurl.nl/fb1jh8 $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:36 AM
@jmclarty I think the trade will come back in next few months. I’m just playing what I see as a mean-reversion of the reflation trade $$
GTNew: Jul. 11 at 10:36 AM
$SPX Monthly Chart Update for those interested: http://bit.ly/11JICS
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:35 AM
http://chart.ly/wy2wkz $RTH – Very similar price pattern to $XLY. Will short on pullbacks.
johnwelshphd: Jul. 11 at 10:35 AM
More bank trouble: Toxic commercial real estate loans still on banks’ books; could hurt economy http://bit.ly/rOFSaThe summer of slop$$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:34 AM
http://chart.ly/27d9qy $XLY – Broke the channel I’ve been stalking. New daily downtrend emerging.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:34 AM
Let’s look at 3 retail etfs $$
jmclarty: Jul. 11 at 10:34 AM
@StevenPlace Only reason it has gone against me, is excessive (without enough hedge) risk aversion, IMHO. $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:33 AM
http://chart.ly/f44b3s $XLP – In triangle consolidation, waiting for break either way. Looks good on weeklies.
jmclarty: Jul. 11 at 10:32 AM
@StevenPlace I’m in what I call the “global reflation, dometic stagnation, hedged against flight to safety” trade. $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:32 AM
http://chart.ly/vcphxb $XLU – Still in channel, watch for a further pullback to 2650 for a long entry
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:31 AM
http://chart.ly/nzbf25 $XLV – Trend still up, at bottom trendline right now. Best sector right now IMO
deacs10s: Jul. 11 at 10:31 AM
I’m loving the $PALM Pre after my first wk w/it. Not perfect, not an iPhone but could be the start of real competition for $RIMM in corp mkt
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:30 AM
http://chart.ly/5zn7qe $XLI – In downward channel. I see a great short opp coming next week.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:29 AM
http://chart.ly/bpx5fy $XLF – Finally breaking lower of its 2 month congestion area
RatioTrader: Jul. 11 at 10:29 AM
Have a great weekend everyone $$
cfv: Jul. 11 at 10:29 AM
@TheMarketOrder @ajp24 i think $RIMM is priced right aroud 65-70
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:28 AM
$$ Now, onto some sector quickfire.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:28 AM
$$ So with all of that said, there’s potential for the Reflation trade to bounce from oversold conditions. Watch the dollar for confirmation
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:27 AM
@raddadd I’ve still got reflation concerns, but price action in the names of my theme not conducive to thesis right now $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:26 AM
@Swetherhold it sure hasn’t. Part of my anti-reflation theme from past few months has been long treasuries (for now) $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:25 AM
http://chart.ly/3zb44q $GLD – In wedge pattern, I’m waiting for breakout to upside to get long exposure.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:24 AM
http://chart.ly/rrnf8z $UNG – I’m spooked about structural problems with this etf. No longs until break of this channel
Swetherhold: Jul. 11 at 10:23 AM
@stevenplace Short treasuries hasn’t worked lately, $tbt down from 58 to 48 in a month
lovellk: Jul. 11 at 10:23 AM
@stevenplace $MON $FLR please
raddadd: Jul. 11 at 10:23 AM
@stevenplace 99 and then down on $tlt? Due to TA not reflation concerns?
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:23 AM
http://chart.ly/bvfq5f $DBA – *potential* support coming. will wait to base before long. this is one of my leaders of “reflation”
addicted2market: Jul. 11 at 10:22 AM
thinking about selling some out of the money puts in $GS (ahead of earnings) and $FSLR next week.
brian_jenkins: Jul. 11 at 10:22 AM
There is a crack in everything, that’s how the light gets in. – Leonard Cohen$$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:22 AM
http://chart.ly/tsbypb $DBC – I’ve yet to see any basing, no reason to be long this etf right now.
tffdo: Jul. 11 at 10:19 AM
$WTNY nice momentum/price divergence on weekly for long!
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:19 AM
http://chart.ly/h9mckc $TLT – I think this will run to 99 and then turn lower. 99 is proj price from h&s and prev resistance
theBRA1N: Jul. 11 at 10:19 AM
They cant shake Sandy Casar who is on my versus fantasy team. Go Sandy go! $tdf
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:17 AM
http://chart.ly/m2qvyk $GBPUSD – Still in month-long range, nice bounce off 50 DMA
Mansurzaum: Jul. 11 at 10:16 AM
RT @teatrobsb: HOJE: A cia de comédia Setebelos apresenta : O Segredo Para o Suce$$O! 21 h na Unip 913 Sul!15 reais a meia!
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:16 AM
http://chart.ly/kx6s47 $EURUSD – If thursday’s low holds, could be establishing triangle consolidation. Watch price at 50dma as well
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:15 AM
http://chart.ly/y3x9h4 $AUDUSD – Has broken down below channel I’ve watched, but case could be made for support here.
pitaking: Jul. 11 at 10:14 AM
@stevenplace $EEM or $FXI thanks
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:14 AM
$$ A quick refresher, reflation trade is long equities and commodities, short dollar and treasuries. Let’s look at the last 3
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:14 AM
$$ The reflation trade. And it’s been poleaxed.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:12 AM
$$ Onto theme. What’s the theme I’ve been harping on for past 2 months?
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:11 AM
http://chart.ly/wky89n $RUT – Still the least healthy of the bunch. Pot support right now at 475-470
raddadd: Jul. 11 at 10:10 AM
@stevenplace Pain and stops has been a theme lately. $$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:09 AM
http://chart.ly/42xs6b $QQQQ – Still my favorite index. In a new channel as well.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:08 AM
$$ I say that’s a possible scenario as it would cause pain to so many and would stop out a ton of traders
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:07 AM
http://chart.ly/vwywzm $SPY – On the short term, here is a *possible* scenario given the price action we’ve seen.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:06 AM
http://chart.ly/dvytck $SPY – New downward channel. We can play off this while everyone looks at that head and shoulders pattern
beanieville: Jul. 11 at 10:06 AM

Fidelity doubles its stake in Starbucks to 10.5%http://bit.ly/c4iBb
$$
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:05 AM
http://chart.ly/f66fnn $SPY – We *are* at a critical level. I don’t know which way it will go, but let’s extrapolate a little
raddadd: Jul. 11 at 10:05 AM
@stevenplace I mean $vno
fjconstantino: Jul. 11 at 10:04 AM
@stevenplace $RIMM
NJHounds: Jul. 11 at 10:04 AM
@stevenplace $KO if time please – bullish wedge?
raddadd: Jul. 11 at 10:03 AM
@stevenplace I’ve already mentioned $vlo but thoughts on any of $IYR underlying appreciated.
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:03 AM
$$ So… how ’bout that head and shoulders? I think while everyone’s focusing on That One Pattern, another perspective is healthy
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:01 AM
$$ Our structure this week remains the same: indicies, themes, sectors and individual names
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:01 AM
$$ As always, I’ll be taking chart requests throughout entire session
fjconstantino: Jul. 11 at 10:00 AM
How about a chart on $RIMM
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at 10:00 AM
$$ Good morning and welcome to yet another episode of stocktwits brunch. I’ll be your host for next 2 hours
stevenplace: Jul. 11 at9:58 AM
$$ It’s on like Donkey Kong.
patternspy: Jul. 11 at9:58 AM
$SDS – UltraShort S&P 500 ETF – technical chart : http://bit.ly/SDSETF
tonyteri: Jul. 11 at9:51 AM
$msft shorts are up wait for your buy point.
Swetherhold: Jul. 11 at9:50 AM
@stevenplace $aapl,$pot,$fcx,$ftr thanks!
tonyteri: Jul. 11 at9:49 AM
$f the shorts are lesening the squeeze.Keep an eye on china business before you buy.
traderjon: Jul. 11 at9:48 AM
SP500 stocks with highest % of short interesthttp://bit.ly/hCcTZ- surprise(?) -builders,financials,consumer discretionary dominate $$
tonyteri: Jul. 11 at9:48 AM
$siri the short squeeze is up on this stock
ArbieNation: Jul. 11 at9:47 AM
$$ Pullback baby, pullback! (But not too far back though).
TrendRida: Jul. 11 at9:46 AM
@stevenplace How about taking a look at $STAR and $OVTI?Thanks
raddadd: Jul. 11 at9:46 AM
@stevenplace $vno
ArbieNation: Jul. 11 at9:46 AM
@stevenplace Steve! How about $C?
tonyteri: Jul. 11 at9:46 AM
$afl cheap and I’m accumulating some this week
StockTwits: Jul. 11 at9:44 AM
StockTwits brunch with @stevenplace begins at 10AM EST here on StockTwits…http://bit.ly/SOQ6f

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