Here Is A Huge List Of All The 2014 Predictions We Saw From The Excellent StockTwits Community
Below you will find more than 40 predictions for 2014. Each prediction was shared by a trader, investor, or market enthusiast from the StockTwits community. If you want to share some of your predictions for 2014, we created a stream right here to post and test your ideas.
- Large Caps become leaders ($DIS, $MMM, $DOW, $DD, $BP to name a few).
- developed markets are winners : US, Germany, Japan.
- Bonds continue to frustrate the first qtr then yields move higher.
- My book becomes a bestseller.
- Crude Oil prices double in Gold terms. $CL_F/$GC_F currently at 0.08 – goes to 0.15+.
- Interest rates see 2% before 4% (10-year).
- Corn Rallies 30%.
- Blackberry doubles in Price.
- And Lebron ends the regular season shooting 50% better from the field than Carmelo Anthony.
- In 2014, we will see an uptick in Volatility and correlation.
- Upside momentum will continue to work.
- Some of the biggest losers of 2013 will turn into the biggest gainers in 2014.
- Apple will come up with a bigger-screen iPhone and it will be awesome. It will be a huge success, but it will cannibalize from its iPads’ sales.
- Twitter will reach $80 at some point, but it will have a 50% correction along the way – it is something typical for all long-term market winners.
- More people will start paying for everything with their smart phones. Credit cards will gradually become relicts and collector items.
- All crypto currencies will experience 80%+ correction at some point in 2014. This will be a buying opportunity. Venture capitalists and angel investors will invests tens of millions of dollars in startups, specializing in Bitcoin-like technology.
- Facebook will buy Tinder.
- Herbalife will go over $100 and Bill Ackman will cover part of his short. He will keep the bulk of it until he retires or until he is right, whichever comes first. His company will see an increase in redemptions.
- The 2009 Generational Bottom is replaced as the reference point for the current bull market with the new all-time highs of 2013. An acknowledgement of the fact that this is a secular bull leads to a rethinking of its starting point – just as we refer to the start of the ’82 bull market from the new high and not the 1973 low.
- @ChicagoSean undergoes a sex change operation.
- A major precious metals fund or firm blows up and gets investigated or sued over deceptive marketing practices for pitching itself as a safe haven.
- Intel is replaced in the Dow by Google, which splits 10 for 1.
- Economists and investors are shocked at the pace of global economic expansion. Most of the predictions about tepid developed market growth and fragile economies in emerging markets look ridiculous as animal spirits combine with five years of massive stimulus to produce a new bubble. It will be investable for awhile before running off the rails. Greed cannot be predicted with a spread sheet and no one will see this explosion coming except for students of human nature.
- The new hot trend will be dividend growth rather than high-yield stocks – dividend growth has historically outpaced inflation and is a much better hedge for long-term investors than commodities, which are prone to massive boom-bust cycles. This augurs well for high quality growth companies that generate a lot of free cash, the theme will be played globally with stocks around the world, not just S&P 500 names.
- I will get kicked off TV for something crazy I do or say on the air one day.
5.) @HowardLindzon predicts that financials like Schwab and Wisdom Tree will lead in 2014:
- Bitcoin implodes in 2014, BUT another, more user-friendly crypto-currency takes its place.
- Left for dead in 2013, commodities and commercial real estate make a comeback.
- Despite decades of denials by Paul Weller that it will ever happen, the seminal British mod band The Jam, reunites for a one-off charity gig.
- Financial blogger finally achieve the same societal status as rock stars, astronauts, and strippers.
- Apple ==> 1000
- FB ==> 100
- Dow ==> 20,000
- SP500 ==>2000
- Nasdaq ==>5000
- Average tuition increase ==>20%+
- Gold ==> < 900
- Oil ==> 100+
- $DIS ==> 100+
- Viewership of Business Television will continue to slide, but all the networks will continue to do the same thing.
- The 1% will become the .5%.
- Bonds will trade 3% before they trade 5%.
- No major economy will implode–QE forever.
- Republicans win the Senate, Keep the House.
9.) @ZorTrades says Carl Icahn’s streak will come to an end and a Google backed broker will mark the next top:
- Hedge funds/tactical strategies will outperform reminding everyone why they get paid the big bucks.
- Carl Ichan hot streak will come to an end, he will get slapped on the wrist for front running his tweets.
- The market will go down and remind investors that the market goes up and down not up or down.
- When RobinHood brokerage (0 commission Google backed firm) starts to talk about how many accounts they have opened because of their 0 commission policy the market will top.
- Jack Schwager will write another market wizards book and all the wizards will have 1 thing in common–INSIDER TRADING.
- Stocks that are heavily shorted will actually tank and prove again that shorts are smarter than longs…HDGE will have a huge year.
10.) @ToddSullivan says GDP will hit 3.75% as home prices increase:
- Home prices increase moderate but home construction and sales volume explode higher as lending eases due to rate increases causing large employment gains.
- FY GDP over 3.75%.
- The GOP takes both houses of congress in the elections and Maddow/Matthews together commit ritualistic suicide on air.
- The buffalo bills win the AFC east on their way to a 2015 Super Bowl berth.
- EEM trades to $50+
- EWW (Mexico) trades to $75-80
- YCS ( short Yen) trades to $85 vicinity
- NFLX 450-500
- SPX target 2030
- DJIA target 17,850
- Financials: The banking system will finally put the ghosts of 2008 to rest. There will be consolidation among small and mid cap banks.
- Consumer: Consumers will continue to focus on quality of life. That means eating healthier, building relationships and taking time for leisure. Unfortunately for capitalists it doesn’t mean spending more. Millenials will get engaged, Baby Boomers will retire, and Gen X will whine that nobody cares about them (jk, love you guys).
- Technology: Apple will release an iPhone with a bigger screen. More consumers will cut their cable subscriptions. More advertising dollars will be spent online. The PC market will stabilize.
- Healthcare: Health insurance companies will pretend to have a tough year adjusting to Obamacare. But the transition will be smooth for healthcare providers. There will start to be a realization that genetic testing is crossing the chasm toward mass market relevance.
- Energy/Materials: The shale oil boom will begin to slow output growth leading to higher oil prices. Farmers will plant less corn and unfavorable growing conditions will lead to higher food prices. Mining will stabilize but be far from prosperous.
- Television will continue to destroy film in terms of quality of storytelling and entertainment value
- Inversion of the jumbo/conforming rate spread that began 2Q2013 will prevail through 2014 as higher agency securitization fees and QE tapering drives conforming rates higher.
- Increased emphasis on balance sheet lending and continued modest growth of non-agency MBS market keeps jumbo rates steadier.
- This will also drive more consumer mortgage volume that would’ve otherwise been in agency product into non-agency product.
- 2014 will be the year of the “Equity Widow-Maker”. We’ve all probably heard of the “widow-maker” trade, which is the nickname given to the those who have tried shorting Japanese Government Bonds – which has ultimately proven to be financially fatal.
- Well, we’re going to see that in the equity markets in 2014. I’m not expecting a major up-move in 2014 though. In fact, I think that while the year will ultimately be “bullish” (expecting a 5-10% gain – S&P to reach around 2000), volatility will be muted. There’s going to be a lot of range/choppy trading. We’ve seen 6 very interesting years since the 2007 S&P top.
- 2008 we had the major sell-off. 2009 was the bottom and reversal. 2010 had the flash crash. 2011 was the debt ceiling crisis which resulted in some of the biggest intraday swings ever. 2012 and 2013 we’re strong up-years (although, not unusual ones).
- So I think we’re in store for a year of “rest”, where market’s don’t go down on “bad” news (like more Tapering) yet don’t really go up on good news (like a better-than-expected improving economy).
- And this will drive shorts (bears), and even longs (bulls) crazy – hence, the “Equity Widow-Maker”.
15.) @CharlesSizemore is bullish on emerging markets:
- With the uncertainty lifted, tapering will actually cause bond yields to fall.
- U.S. stocks post positive but uninspiring returns.
- European and emerging market shares vastly outperform U.S. shares.
16.) @WallStreetBean says NASDAQ 4500:
- S&P = 2000
- NASDAQ = 4500
- BIDU = 250
- EXL = 20
- TLT = 110
- Gold = 1250
- China invades the North Pole.
- Capital flows continue on the path of least resistance toward developed economies.
- Volatility will bite down hard, but S&P 500 continues in a long-term bull market.
- Our studies identified several historical market cases which model a relatively big correction in the first half of the 2014, after which the market begins to really accumulates momentum.
- I expect the economy of the US will fully recover from the 2008 financial crisis in by the end of 2014, and we will head into the next phase of the bull market and the generation of the next (real) bubble.
- Hard assets (Gold and Bitcoin) become synonymous with volatility and risk rather than stability and opportunity.
- More people step out of the shadow of the 2008 crisis. The slow recovery continues, and liquidity gradually makes its way into the real economy and actual business development activities. Startups and business creation gather momentum as capital allocators realize that ZIRP money unattached to a great project is dead capital.
- A new round of wealth generation begins in China. New government ushers in a huge prosperity for the new political class. Those clinging to power from the old establishment are out, and the assets are shuffled to the new political elites.
- Opportunities will be manufactured to fuel the prosperity of rulers. China’s government has started to work on its poor debt situation with local governments. A new round of asset allocation will start in a year or two. The real estate market bubble makes this a binary play, but massively skewed to the positive.
- Companies performing head-to-head with Asia (China, Korea, etc) lose big (think: $CREE and $BRCM). Companies that stuck with the globalization trend win big (think: $DIS and $C)
- Active managers and hedge funds finally bottom out and begin to outperform passive strategies.
- The team at DynamicHedge releases one of the greatest market analysis tools ever with www.marketmemory.com.
- The craft beer trend stays strong and World of Beers files for a wildly successful IPO. Runner up would be a Total Wine IPO.
- AAPL will not clear 2012 highs in 2014 either, despite iphone 6 XL or whatever they introduce.
- Burritos reign supreme again, and CMG continues to trade at all time highs.
- Rex Ryan will be on dancing with the stars.
- Amazon will buy either UPS or the USPS – probably the former.
- Yahoo will buy Stocktwits, marking the market top.
27.) @MarketPicker believes 2014 will be the year of the robot:
43.) @Marginmoney wants to see some healthy corrections:
45.) @Forecastis uses its algorithms and predicts that Google will move higher over the next 10 months:
55.) @KimbleCharting is looking at 2013′s worst performers to be some of 2014′s best performers:
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