Cashtaggers Debate $PLUG: Overhyped or Future Power Player

Plug Power, $PLUG, took the electricity out of some portfolios Wednesday. The stock dropped 21% after Plug CEO Andy Marsh told Bloomberg/BusinessWeek that, contrary to reports, no new deals were in the pipeline.

The stock had gained 49% Tuesday after MarketWatch reported that Plug would announce a new deal in the next two to three weeks. Some investors had speculated that Plug would announce a deal with Volkswagen. But Volkswagen denied the rumors.

$PLUG and the rollar coaster heads back down. Might buy 6.20's and hope for another 7 retest later on.

— Joseph (@Fuji31) Mar. 26 at 11:50 AM

Marsh told Bloomberg that the coming deal, initially referred to in a MarketWatch article and re-reported by business television networks, was the same one discussed on March 13 when the company announced fourth quarter and full year earnings.
During Plug’s the earnings call, Marsh had said that sales orders for 2014 already exceeded $60 million. He also said that the company received sales and maintenance orders from Kroger, BMW and Mercedes-Benz. And he discussed the well-publicized deal with WalMart, $WMT, to roll out its GenDrive hydrogen cells to power electric lift trucks at the retailer’s North American distribution centers.

Many cashtaggers blamed the media confusion on Marsh wanting to announce tentative agreements in the pipeline that are not ready for an official press release. They are buying Marsh’s promise of hydrogen fuel cells entering a rapid growth cycle. Plug sentiment remained 89% Bullish, despite Wednesday’s decline, according to StockTwits’ analytics.

$PLUG Everyone is jumping the gun and trying to twist Andy's words. Soon as the deal is officially announced, everything will be fine.

— Cagle (@jcctex) Mar. 26 at 11:27 AM

Others disagreed. They said they had come to view the $PLUG as little more than a “casino stock”, as pegged by Andrew Left, a short seller and author of investment newsletter Citron Research. Left argues that Plug will not be profitable this year, as promised by CEO Andy Marsh, and that the stock’s fair value is $0.50.

$PLUG all of you that are still holding this are delussional. Might as well go buy lottery

— Jack Lai (@misenlai) Mar. 26 at 11:33 AM

Some formerly long cashtaggers even said they were selling out of positions and buying puts.

$PLUG out half position on puts from yesterday eod. +100%

— Kevin Kim (@KK_KK) Mar. 26 at 11:34 AM

$PLUG Increased revenues will not put them in the black.. . get it thru ur thick skulls. Negative margins need to be improved

— Nads (@Longtrader) Mar. 26 at 11:43 AM


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